| Covid – 19 | GPS Disruption |
| Natural flu pandemics rare, but happen:
1918 – H1N1 1957 – H2H2 2020 – Covid-19 |
Damaging solar flares rare, but happen:
1859 – Carrington Event 1921 – NY Railroad Storm “More frequent than was thought” Univ of Warwick |
| Potential terrorist & military weapon | Is a terrorist & military weapon |
| Transportation systems suffer early | Transportation systems suffer first |
| Complex, difficult to understand cascade through society | Complex, difficult to understand cascade through networks and systems |
| Major secondary impacts to social systems | Major secondary impacts to tech systems |
| Severe economic damage | Severe economic damage |
| Virus detection systems available, but not purchased and ready | Disruption detection systems available, but not purchased and ready |
| Government leadership staff, preparation funding reduced before event. | Government civil PNT staff, budget, non-space navigation systems reduced before event. |
A “black elephant” is a cross between a “black swan” (a rare, low-probability, unanticipated event with enormous ramifications) and “the elephant in the room” (a problem that is widely visible to everyone, yet that no one wants to address, even though we absolutely know that one day it will have vast black-swan-like consequences). – Thomas L. Friedman in “Thank You for Being Late”, citing Adam Sweidan.
Best wishes for good health from the directors and staff at RNT Foundation.
